![]() ![]() Clinton won nearly 3 million more votes than he did, and Biden is on track to win nearly 6 million more votes than Trump.īiden has already won more votes than any presidential candidate in US history. In both the 20 elections, Trump lost the popular vote. Biden is the first Democrat to flip Georgia since President Bill Clinton in 1992 and the first to win in Arizona since 1996. To win, Biden flipped Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, and Nebraska's 1st Congressional District. Trump's chance for reelection in 2020 was soured by Biden, who amassed an inverse of 2016's original electoral college results and won 306 votes to Trump's 232. The final count, however, is different as Trump lost two votes and Clinton lost five due to faithless electors, bringing the end total to 304 electoral votes for Trump and 227 for Clinton. The original electoral count after the 2016 election was 306 votes for Trump and 232 for Clinton. Trump emerged victorious on election night in 2016, flipping Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Florida into Republican territory. It often indicates a user profile.įollowing the end of President Barack Obama's two terms in the White House, Clinton matched up against a surprisingly resilient Republican nominee: Trump. All the votes in liberal-leaning New York and California will not change that.Account icon An icon in the shape of a person's head and shoulders. That math is settled Trump holds an insurmountable lead in swing states, which turned his popular defeat into a sizable electoral victory. While these uncounted votes may grow Clinton’s popular lead, they absolutely will not change the course of the election. However, all ballots, including absentee ballots, are counted in the final totals for every election, and every vote (absentee or in-person) counts the same.īut as satisfying (or disappointing) as it may be to Hillary Clinton supporters to see that more Americans voted for her than for any other candidate - including Donald Trump - that fact won't change the outcome in any way: In a close election, the media may report that the outcome cannot be announced until after the absentee ballots are counted. The media often will report the projected outcome of the election before all of the ballots are counted. and Joshua Mendelsohn, The Final Push: Estimated Popular Vote Totals from the OctoberNovember Wave of the RAND Presidential Election Panel Survey, RAND Corporation, RR-1792-RC, 2016. All ballots submitted according to State laws are counted in every election. The fifth wave of the 2016 RAND Presidential Election Panel Survey reports down-to-the-wire results from our probabilistic poll. Many absentee ballots are cast by voters who are unable to vote at their physical polling place due to being an active duty military member, a family member of someone on active duty or a U.S. Likewise, the web site of the Federal Voting Assistance Program ( FVAP) states: As absentee voting becomes more popular, however, an increasing number of elections are decided by absentee ballots. Many elections have a clear winner, so the absentee ballots that are still being counted after election night don't affect the results as predicted right after the polls close. ![]() This misconception stems from two things: one, absentee ballots are often counted for days after the election since many are coming from abroad two, absentee ballots are often a small percentage of all voted ballots. It is a common misconception that absentee ballots are only counted during very tight races. Yes, all votes are counted, whether they're cast in-person or by absentee ballot. The notion that states don't count absentee ballots unless they are sufficient in number to change the outcome has been addressed (and refuted) by : California alone has more than 4 million votes pending Washington is waiting on another 700,000. These provisions have made alternative voting pretty popular, and the ballots a bit harder to count. California, for instance, allows residents to submit ballots up to three days late (although they must be postmarked on or before Election Day). What’s with the delay? Several states, notably California and Washington, have liberal absentee and mail-in voting laws. She should be able to win those votes, probably 2-1.” By mid-December, when the Electoral College officially casts its ballots, Wasserman estimates that Clinton could be ahead by 2 percentage points in the popular vote. “A majority of are on the coasts, in New York, California, and Washington. A spreadsheet compiled by David Wasserman, an editor at Cook Political Report who is tracking turnout, shows a similar trend, and as the Atlantic noted on 12 November 2016, the bulk of remaining uncounted ballots come from states that went heavily for the Democratic candidate: Moreover, the popular vote margin favoring Hillary Clinton is likely to grow rather than shrink as more of the remaining ballots are counted. ![]()
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![]() ![]() interactive Notifications, allowing you to reply to a message, respond to a FaceTime® call or even delete an email without leaving the app you’re using.enhanced multi-display support, which makes using multiple displays easier and more powerful, with no configuration required.iCloud® Keychain®, which safely stores your website usernames and passwords, credit card numbers and Wi-Fi passwords and pushes them to your trusted devices so you don’t need to remember them.a new version of Safari with Shared Links, which helps you find what’s new on the web by consolidating links shared by people you follow on Twitter and LinkedIn.a streamlined Calendar that estimates travel time between appointments, and provides a map with weather forecast.Maps, which brings powerful mapping technology to the desktop and lets you plan a trip from your Mac and send it to your iPhone® for voice navigation on the road.iBooks, which gives you instant access to your iBooks library, more than two million titles in the iBooks Store™, and works seamlessly across your devices.OS X Mavericks introduces innovative new features, including: We believe the best way to do this is to begin a new era of personal computing software where OS upgrades are free.” “We want every Mac user to experience the latest features, the most advanced technologies, and the strongest security. “Mavericks is an incredible release, which introduces significant new apps and features, while also improving the performance and battery life of your Mac,” said Craig Federighi, Apple’s senior vice president of Software Engineering. With more than 200 new features, OS X Mavericks brings iBooks® and Maps to the Mac®, includes a new version of Safari®, enhances multi-display support, introduces Finder® Tabs and Tags and delivers new core technologies for breakthrough power efficiency and performance. The drive never recovered from THAT ordeal!Ĭigarette smoke is probably the worst, but then there was the 4-y-o kid who decided that CD tray was a good place to store a PBJ.Apple® today announced that OS X® Mavericks, the 10th major release of the world’s most advanced desktop operating system, is available for free from the Mac App Store?. I have seen everything you can imagine to "gook up" a DVD drive.Ĭigarette smoke is probably the worst, but then there was the 4-y-o kid who decided that CD tray was a good place to store a PBJ. Quite handy when going on site, and not knowing what Mac I will find. I have a 64GB flash drive with every installer from Snow Leopard on, each on a bootable partition. Once you have downloaded the installer app, you don't need to download that again, just make a bootable installer on a flash drive, or other external storage. Depends on the OS X version which has other updates.Īnd, Apple does provide online instructions for creating a bootable installer, which you can do on you own. There's nothing more that downloads from internet, other than later updates. The install is not complete, but the flash drive is done. (DVD install typically takes 45 minutes to an hour or more, where a USB 3.0 flash drive copies the system files off in 5 to 15 minutes, at the most. Users who create a bootable DVD have discovered that the installer is no longer optimized for booting through optical media. My point is that Apple no longer provides OS installers on DVD (since Snow Leopard). Yeah, those were the "good old days" Maybe these days, they could toss in a 8GB Flash drive, those are worth about a buck, but I don't want to cut into Apple's massive pile of cash with a modest request for customer service. Any time Apple wastes my time to save a few pennies, it makes me question my allegiance to the wealthiest cheapskates on the planet (close enough).Īs I said, it'll take me less time to drive to the Apple store, and see if the "Deer in the Headlights" Employees can pry loose a relatively stable version of the operating system. I have had downloads from Apple abort and fail, so you'll have to excuse me if I'm not impressed by your sarcasm. I've also never damaged a DVD so that it wouldn't play, (and what are you playing that gets the drive so dirty it won't run). ![]() Never had a DVD take as long as the system download does. Click to expand.The difference being, you always got a DVD, and nothing further was necessary. ![]() ![]() ![]() Most of these programs come as freeware while others required you to purchase them though after a trial period. This article is all you need when it comes to some of the best JPG to PDF converter software. To know the best to go for, you need to have some information on the features that you expect from each. In regard to this, many programs have been developed to cater to this need and each tries to outdo the other. This definitely calls for specialized offlinesoftware that can handle JPG to PDF conversion to produce the intended output. One such instance is where the need arises to convert images to PDf files. Despite the large popularity, there are instances where the formats do not fit hence require conversion to an appropriate format. We will never save any files uploaded with our conversion tool, so you don’t need to worry.JPG or JPEG is a very popular image format that is very widely used. An hour after you upload your files, we delete both the PDF and JPG copies from our server. Your original files are always safe and untouched on your computer, phone, or tablet!Īdditionally, we do not keep any of your private data. When you upload a PDF, we make a copy of that file and then convert it to JPG. Our conversion tool does not affect your original files. You can do this as many times as you need. You can download a ZIP file containing all the images for one PDF or you can download all of your converted PDFs at once in ZIP format by hitting the button under the queue.ĭo you need to convert more than 20 files? That’s OK! After you’ve downloaded all your converted files, clear the queue and repeat the process. In other words, if your PDF has three pages, you’ll get three image files. Our tool converts each page of a PDF to one image. Here, you’ll find all the PDFs you uploaded. Now that you’ve uploaded your files, check the queue. You can convert up to 20 documents in each session. Alternatively, you can just drag and drop your files. ![]() Navigate to the PDF file(s) you wish to convert, and upload them. To convert a PDF to JPG for free, you’ll need to upload a PDF using our tool above. There are a whole wealth of reasons why converting your files might be a good idea! How to convert PDF pages to image files for free? It also can make altering documents possible in your favorite image software, such as Lightroom or Gimp. It can also be helpful for reducing file size, as some PDFs can take up more drive space than image files. This is just one example of why converting PDF files to image files can be helpful. If you convert that PDF to a JPG, however, you can upload it directly to those social networks! If you wanted to share that advertisement on social media, you wouldn’t be able to, because most social media sites - Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, etc. As an example, let’s say you have a print advertisement for your restaurant in PDF. Having a JPG version of a PDF allows you to do more with that document. You can’t upload a PDF to Instagram, for example, because Instagram only accepts image files. This means you can’t upload PDF files to image-based systems. However, PDF files are classified as documents, not images. This may make PDF files seem similar to images. In other words, you can draft a PDF file on a Windows PC and it will look the same on an iPhone, a MacBook, or even a television. They usually have text, links, and sometimes images, but they are viewed universally on all systems. PDF files are like snapshots of document files. Common image file formats are JPG, PNG, and TIFF, for example. Images are files that contain graphical information, usually of a photograph, drawing, or another kind of visual media. ![]() ![]() ![]() If you're engaged in a fight with something, then it's not with me. And I refuse to hide and disguise what I see. Featuring over 275,000 artworks by over 50,000 artists. Art UK is the online home for every public collection in the UK. Discover artworks, explore venues and meet artists. ![]() If you see frailty, it's because there's frailty. Art UK is the operating name of the Public Catalogue Foundation, a charity registered in England and Wales (1096185) and Scotland (SC048601). If you see decay, it's because there's decay. It is not a reasonably truthful image of me! I showed those sketches to your wife throughout the process. A narcissist without direction or certainty. You make monsters of everyone you admire? I accepted this commission because I admired you and I came through the experience admiring you even more. Well, they should have commissioned an artist who is respectful! Rather than a Judas wielding his murderous brush! Look at it! It is a betrayal of friendship! And an unpatriotic, treacherous, cowardly assault by the individualistic Left! It was commissioned by the Members of the joint Houses of Parliament as a sign of respect. It was disliked by Churchill and eventually destroyed shortly after. The Portrait of Winston Churchill was a painting by English artist Graham Sutherland that depicted the British Prime Minister Sir Winston Churchill, created in 1954. That is how it is! And I will not accept it! Portrait of Winston Churchill (1954) by Graham Sutherland. A broken, sagging, pitiful creature, squeezing and squeezing!' 'How shall I paint him today? Ah, sitting on a chair, producing a stool. I understand you've rejected the painting. ![]() ![]() ![]() In addition to Up and Vanished and Atlanta Monster, Tenderfoot TV also produced the podcasts To Live and Die in L.A., Culpable, and Somebody. As of January 2020, Oxygen and Tenderfoot TV are working to develop a television special about Kristal Reisinger which will be produced by Lindsey. Together with Tenderfoot TV and Oxygen Lindsey and Albright developed a TV docu-series from Up and Vanished. Tenderfoot TV Īfter Up and Vanished, together with his business partner Donald Albright, Lindsey launched the content creation company Tenderfoot TV which is based in Atlanta. A second season of Up and Vanished covered the disappearance of Kristal Reisinger. Lindsey began podcasting full time once Up and Vanished increased in popularity. This helped uncover previously unnoticed evidence which lead to the decade-old case being cracked and two arrests made. Within a 12-month period the podcast received over 50 million downloads, which propelled Grinstead's case into the mainstream media. Lindsey broadcast in real-time, week by week, in audio form. Lindsey's grandmother lived in Tifton, Georgia, near Ocilla, where Grinstead had gone missing. Lindsey did not have access to police files, so instead scoured through old news articles and online forums to hunt out possible leads. Lindsey realized that he "could produce a podcast at home in my boxers," and created Up and Vanished. At the time, Lindsey's intentions were to develop Grinstead's story into a documentary film, but he realized he did not have the funds to film interviews on location. With an early interest in investigative journalism, Lindsey was inspired to investigate the disappearance of beauty queen and school teacher Tara Grinstead, a well-known cold case in Georgia. Lindsey watched the show and realized that he wanted to do something similar. In December 2015, Netflix released Making a Murderer. At age 23, his dad cut him off and he began focusing on creating and directing videos. ![]() He attended college on and off for a few years, but hated school. Lindsey made a 13-minute documentary film about people that he met on a cross-country road trip and entered it into festivals. As a child, he wanted to direct feature films. He obtained his first video camera at age 10 and later directed local television commercials and music videos. ![]() Lindsey was born and raised in Kennesaw, Georgia. He is best known for co-creating and hosting the hit investigative journalist and true crime podcasts Up and Vanished and Atlanta Monster. Payne Lindsey is an American director, documentary filmmaker, Right Side of the Tree lead singer and podcast host. ![]() ![]() In addition, the pooled effects can be represented using a diamond. Optionally, the marker size may vary in size according to the weights assigned to the different studies. In this example the markers representing the effect size all have the same size. The results of the different studies, with 95% CI, and the overall effect (under the fixed and random effects model) with 95% CI are illustrated in a graph called "forest plot", for example: Note that the power of both methods to detect bias will be low with small numbers of studies. Publication biasĪll MedCalc's meta-analysis reports include two tests to detect possible publication bias: Egger's test (Egger et al., 1997) and Begg's rank test (Begg and Mazumdar, 1994).Įgger's test is a test for the Y intercept = 0 from a linear regression of normalized effect estimate (estimate divided by its standard error) against precision (reciprocal of the standard error of the estimate).īegg's test assesses if there is a significant correlation between the ranks of the standardized effect sizes and the ranks of their variances.įor both tests, when the (two-sided) P-value is low, this is an indication of publication bias. ![]() A value of 0% indicates no observed heterogeneity, and larger values show increasing heterogeneity (Higgins et al., 2003). Negative values of I 2 are put equal to zero so that I 2 lies between 0% and 100%. It is calculated as I 2 = 100% x (Q - df)/Q, where Q is Cochran's heterogeneity statistic and df the degrees of freedom. I 2 is the percentage of observed total variation across studies that is due to real heterogeneity rather than chance. Conversely, Q has too much power as a test of heterogeneity if the number of studies is large. This test however is known to have low power to detect heterogeneity and it is suggested to use a value of 0.10 as a cut-off for significance (Higgins et al., 2003). It is reported with a P value with low P-values indicating presence of heterogeneity. ![]() Q is the weighted sum of squares on a standardized scale. When heterogeneity is present (see below) the random effects model should be the preferred model. with wider confidence interval), but the results from the two models usually agree when there is no heterogeneity. The random effects model will tend to give a more conservative estimate (i.e. ![]() Under the random effects model the true effects in the studies are assumed to vary between studies and the summary effect is the weighted average of the effects reported in the different studies (Borenstein et al., 2009). Under the fixed effects model, it is assumed that the studies share a common true effect, and the summary effect is an estimate of the common effect size. The agreement or disagreement between the studies is examined using different measures of heterogeneity.
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Jealousy, too, can be a persistent issue. “I want to play with both people and in a way that we all get to pile on each at different times.” “Not all unicorns are like this, but I like everyone taking turns being the center of attention,” Matatas says. To make sure everyone feels like they’re equally part of the threesome-if that’s the dynamic you’ve agreed on-taking turns can be helpful. “Being able to stop the moment and ask ‘light?’ has been something that’s worked well for me.” “Beforehand, I like to bring up the red light system, green/yellow/red: Green is good, yellow is caution, and red is hard stop,” Vu explains. Because consent can change during an encounter, Vu says lots of checking in is a good idea. In Action: Navigating Consent, Directed Attention, and JealousyĬommunicating comfort and consent is super important, always. ![]() Common ones include: double blowjob, experimental girl-on-girl stuff, or a woman wants to try eating pussy for the first time.Įnsuring that you like both people in the couple as individuals, and then them as a couple, can also be prudent to setting up a threesome with a good dynamic all around.Īnd, as a unicorn, make sure you talk about your boundaries and sexual health concerns, such as the use of condoms. “Some people have one thing that is really important that they want to do,” Ellis explains. You can also ask if the couple has a wishlist. “You can suss out from that if they want to use you as a prop,” she explains. “Give each person in the relationship equal opportunity to talk and discuss what they like, what their boundaries are, if they had any expectations or fantasies,” Vu says.Įllis says identifying the couple’s expectations and your role in that dynamic are important. ![]() Vu says she thinks about the following questions: “Are they flirty? Are they experienced? Do they ask what I like? Are they genuinely interested in what gets me off?” ![]() ![]() ![]() Narrator Vera Newman Boy Ernest Alfred Maxinuxw Bobby Jo (Robert Joseph) Chief Arthur Dick The Origin of Dances and the Potlatch As told by 'Namgis Chief Wawi'igesu' This is a story of how the traditional lands of the Kwakiutl were formed, and how the Kwakiutl learned their ancient traditions of gift giving and dancing.It would have been the summer of 1980 when I walked into our local music store in Marylebone High Street in London and heard the film score to The Sea Hawk blazing out of the speakers as I perused the scores I needed for conducting class. This is a story of how max'inuxw, the killer whale and the Kwakwaka'wakw agreed to stop hunting each other and to live in harmony. Narrator Andrea Cranmer Boy 1 & 4 Alvin Stevens Boy 2 & 5 Ernest Alfred Boy 3 Christopher Speck Maxinuxw Bobby Jo (Robert Joseph) Peace Treaty with the Mi'max'inuxw - The Killer Whales From a legend told by Chief 'Maxwayalis Charlie Matilpi. ![]() This is a story of how a young hunter discovered why the Killer Whale is one of the most highly respected creatures in the Kwakwaka'wakw culture. Max'inuxw the Killer Whale Stalks Its Prey From a legend told by Henry and Helen "Teen" Hunt. Narrator Pauline Alfred Wren Mariah Wadhams Elk Ernest Alfred This is a story of respect and consideration for others, and how a large elk learned this lesson from a tiny little wren. Narrator Bobby Jo (Robert Joseph) Kwanxwala Arthur Dick U'Malame Sean Whonnock Chief 1 Bruce Alfred Chief 2 William Wasden Brother 1 Alvin Stevens Brother 2 Ernest Alfred The Little Wren From a legend told by Pauline Alfred. A story that celebrates how the Kwakwaka'wakw survived the Great Flood and came to discover their ancestral trail known today as The Grease Trail. Originally written by Hiłamas William Wasden Jr. It is hoped that these original language versions will help promote and protect the endangered language now and for future generations.Ĭast List The Path of Our Ancestors From a legend told by Lalaka̱nis. While these stories are in English, the same stories have also been produced in Kwak'wala. In these legends you will hear some of the timeless Kwakwaka'wakw values: tradition of giving away to show one's wealth, the connection to the majestic killer whales, the significance of the uligan and the cedar tree, and the influence of the islands and sea and all that they have provided for the Kwakwaka'wakw since the beginning of time. ![]() It was through teaming up with the dedicated and talented staff and supportive elders that the CBC Radio Legacy team was able to adapt into English some of the traditional legends for this project. U'Mista is actively protecting the language, songs, and traditions in its big house ceremonies and archives. It is U'Mista's mandate to repatriate the many ceremonial artifacts that were taken by museums and private collectors around the world when they believed the Kwakwaka'wakw were - or would soon be - extinct. Their art, potlatches, songs, and traditions are being revitalized with help from organizations such as the U'Mista Cultural Centre, in Alert Bay. ![]() In 1904, the Kwakwaka'wakw, now the Namgis First Nation, were believed to number fewer than 200. Their language, art, and culture were driven underground. Laws were passed banning their potlatch ceremony. The Kwakwaka'wakw were resettled and schooled by government in Alert Bay. CBC Radio's Legends Project compiles traditional oral stories, legends and histories of Canada's Inuit and First Nations, gathered in communities across the country.Īlert Bay ( Google Maps link) nestles on Cormorant Island, a three mile long, half mile wide island three kilometres northeast of Vancouver Island, British Columbia.Īlert Bay and Cormorant Island are the names given by the English in the 1800s, but this community was one of several traditional Kwakwaka'wakw villages. Their stories capture the essence of their relationship with the sea and its creatures, and the rites, rituals and traditions that have survived despite their immersion in an ever-changing world. Off the northern tip of Vancouver Island, a small group of people has survived since time began. ![]() |
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